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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
furialetsgoHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (590–548, n=1138)47% (670–741, n=1411)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$28K$400K$885K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #929PM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (63 of 90 open)61% (43 of 70 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfurialetsgoHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1KPatriots $19KLions $38K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6.7KPackers $15KVikings $6.2K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $7.9KVikings $14KVikings $8.3K
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $24KTitans $12K—
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $5.6K—Lions $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $15KChiefs $6.4K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $8.3K—Cowboys $283
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1K—Titans $6.9K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $6.2K—
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $6.3KJets $212—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $3.4K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $183Jazz $4.8K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KUnder $1.7K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $265Clippers $2.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $19Pacers $120—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K—
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.7KOregon Ducks $20K—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KUnder $22K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.5KBrowns $19K—
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412Under $11K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $5.4KRams $4.9K—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3K—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $2.4KMavericks $533—
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
—Nebraska Cornhuskers $1.7KNebraska Cornhuskers $1.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.9KSuns $809—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $32—Lions $645