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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1UnreasonableAwareness
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #51PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensus64% (151 of 236 open)67% (2 of 3 open)61% (97 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1UnreasonableAwareness
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713—Over $268—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213—No $677—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220—Hawks $426—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273—
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444Ball State $18——
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123—Over $86—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $31—Wizards $89—
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
Carlos Maria Zarate $21—Lucio Ratti $18—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $40K—No $6.5K—
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Renata Zarazua $3.0K—Renata Zarazua $18K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.3K—Under $7.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14K—Yes $378—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13K—Yes $104—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $6.2K—No $3.4K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.5K—Under $1.4K—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Max Wiskandt
Hiroki Sakagawa $1.0K—Hiroki Sakagawa $719—
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $257—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Filip Jeff Planinsek $26—Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $75—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $776—76ers $240—
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $713—Yes $250—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $720—Over $165—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Solana Sierra $286—Solana Sierra $476—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $383—Raptors $124—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $40—Under $371—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $172—Under $120—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $122—Timberwolves $126—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $215—Wizards $21—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $8—Over $87—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $73—Over $19—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $28—