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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpNewshoundomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)71% (702–283, n=985)50% (15178–15196, n=30374)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$64K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #902PM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (127 of 207 open)33% (9 of 27 open)52% (58 of 112 open)61% (71 of 116 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%72% of 984 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)22% (won 24% of 221)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)13% (won 64% of 124)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)18% (won 76% of 174)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)47% (won 95% of 465)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpNewshoundomnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861—Tommy Paul $22Quentin Halys $1.2K
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $246—Over $3Under $169
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Trail Blazers $216—Suns $2Suns $6
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.6K—Lakers $619Lakers $3
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $358—Under $28Under $151
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K—
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $1.1K—Trail Blazers $2.2K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301——No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274——Under $1.7K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $10—
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $10—
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $972——Raptors $130
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $486—Yes $358—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $555——Raptors $275
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $514—Under $207—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Mika Stojsavljevic $36—Zeynep Sonmez $467—
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $91——Over $351
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8——Over $390
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $197—Over $166—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $270—Yes $71—
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $138——Under $196
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
opposite sides · consensus Charles Broom
Alexandre Muller $189—Charles Broom $129—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $90—Yes $214—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $297—No $7—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $143—Over $28—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $136—Yes $3—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $19——Trail Blazers $99
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $2—Tiphanie Lemaitre $98—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $53—Under $42—
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Ontario Reign
opposite sides · consensus San Jose Barracuda
San Jose Barracuda $15—Ontario Reign $56—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K—No $9.9K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.5K—No $177—
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $2.1K—Spurs $1.3K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5K—Yes $432—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.7K——Spurs $183
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
Giannicola Misasi $69—Giannicola Misasi $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Lakers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Lakers
Kings $930—Kings $430—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $1.1K——Timberwolves $130
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.1K—No $119—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.1K——Lakers $17
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $702——Timberwolves $159