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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)55% (23–19, n=42)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)53% (532–472, n=1004)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$881K$533K$635K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #18PM monthly #9PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position47% (110 of 235 open)52% (57 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612—
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 6% of 540)12% (won 45% of 89)
Entries 30–50¢0%61% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 322)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)30% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 152)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 319)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $1549ers $61K
Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $12KYes $3.3K
Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.2KOver $5.0K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $397Packers $7.1K
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $867Over $4.1K
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KOver $937
Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.4KYes $1.3K
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.5KYes $493
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $842Oklahoma $694
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $529
Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons
——Air Force Falcons $18Pacific Tigers $273
CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27K—Yes $3.8K—
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
——France $10KFrance $29
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $153Mavericks $9.2K
Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.1KYes $4.8K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $8.3KUnder $9
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $5.8K76ers $2.2K
Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.9KUnder $9
Texans vs. Browns
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $14Browns $1.5K
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.5KYes $23
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $695Yes $641
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $53Colts $1.3K
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $282Yes $22
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $8Over $264
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7Under $4