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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DanielsDixonfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)36% (4–7, n=11)55% (12–10, n=22)54% (361–305, n=666)46% (385–445, n=830)
Consensus PnL-$765$576K$444K$502K
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #34PM monthly #6PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position78% (130 of 167 open)63% (43 of 68 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 1)45% (won 100% of 5)32% (won 100% of 62)38% (won 100% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢88% (won 100% of 7)36% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)49% (won 100% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 21)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanielsDixonfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $5.1KPacers $20K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.5KOver $11K
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $4.4KBulls $13K
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13KUnder $256
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $2.3KCanucks $10K
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.6KUnder $5.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Grizzlies $2.5KPelicans $7.6K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.0KUnder $2.8K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3.4K
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $408Under $1.6K
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Knicks $6Knicks $26K
Jaguars vs. Titans
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $840—Jaguars $13K—
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $510——Under $12K
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.1KOver $4.8K
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
——Florida State $3.0KFlorida State $2.8K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $2.1KPelicans $3.4K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $4.8K
Patriots vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Patriots $410—Patriots $4.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Knicks $4.1KKnicks $397
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna
same side · consensus Anadolu Efes
——Anadolu Efes $3.3KAnadolu Efes $18
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $99—Under $3.0K—
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.4KOver $789
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $650—Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Nigeria (-2.5)
same side · consensus Tanzania
Tanzania $849——Tanzania $194
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $520—Bulls $450—