Known as TheComboConnoisseur since Nov 13 2026 · Previously known as: TheComboConnoisseur (Nov 9 – Nov 13 2026)
Consensus PnL -$595 · win rate 40% (4–6, n=10) · PM monthly #884 · holds 12 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
-$594.69
Record
4W / 6L
Win Rate
40.0%
of 10 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1066
Source
PM monthly #884
Record (90 d)
4/11 · 36%
Trades
56
Markets
25
Volume
$9.9K
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Top consensus positions
12 in listed consensus markets · 8 of 12 on the consensus side (67%)- Jaguars vs. TitansJaguars $840 · now 84¢ · in at 84¢with the consensus (46% of 13)
- Dolphins vs. ColtsColts $650 · now 66¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (63% of 19)
- Spread: Nigeria (-2.5)Tanzania $640 · now 88¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (36% of 13)
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Chile $590 · now 60¢ · in at 59¢against the consensus (Colombia)
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)Azerbaijan $560 · now 55¢ · in at 52¢against the consensus (Liechtenstein)
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under $548 · now 56¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (50% of 5)
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Bulls $540 · now 53¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (64% of 12)
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under $490 · now 52¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (50% of 20)
Specialties
8 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 54¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where TheComboConnoisseur's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 88%(won 100% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.