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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (11439–14898, n=26337) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.1M | $4.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #93 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 50% (55 of 110 open) | 73% (111 of 153 open) | 75% (139 of 186 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | — | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | — | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | — | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | — | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | — | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $7.6K |
| Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.4K | — | Under $3.0K |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $2.3K |
| Watford FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $182 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $207 | — | Under $1.2K |
| Millwall FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $327 | — | Under $793 |
| Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucheon FC 1995 | — | Incheon United FC $19 | — | Bucheon FC 1995 $1.0K |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $23 | — | Under $765 |
| Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Al Riyadh Saudi Club | — | Al Khaleej Saudi Club $16 | — | Al Riyadh Saudi Club $761 |
| Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $272 | — | Under $440 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $66 | — | Under $585 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $109 | — | Under $357 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $434 | — | Over $27 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $380 | — | Under $74 |
| Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $96 | — | No $354 |
| Spread: Benevento Calcio (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hellas Verona FC | — | Hellas Verona FC $148 | — | Benevento Calcio $217 |
| Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $33 | — | Under $234 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $165 | — | Under $98 |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $53 | — | Under $181 |
| Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $158 | — | Yes $34 |
| Will Clermont Foot 63 vs. US Boulogne Côte d'Opale end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3 | — | Yes $179 |
| Millwall FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $106 | — | Under $72 |
| Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $50 | — | Under $81 |
| Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Al Khaleej Saudi Club | — | Al Riyadh Saudi Club $36 | — | Al Khaleej Saudi Club $85 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $22 | — | Under $98 |
| Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Gaziantep FK | — | Göztepe SK $59 | — | Gaziantep FK $25 |
| VfL Osnabrück vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2 | — | Under $67 |
| Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $43 | — | Under $19 |
| Will Dijon Football Côte d'Or win on 2026-09-11? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $33 | — | Yes $28 |
| VfL Osnabrück vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $44 | — | Over $2 |
| Pisa SC vs. Virtus Entella: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $23 | — | Under $22 |
| Spread: Levante UD (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Málaga CF | — | Málaga CF $24 | — | Levante UD $3 |
| SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2 | — | Under $7 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $292K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $151 | — | No $15K |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) same side · consensus SSC Napoli | — | SSC Napoli $300 | — | SSC Napoli $3.5K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $20 | — | Yes $3.5K |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $988 | — | Under $215 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $252 | — | Over $695 |
| Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $163 | — | No $692 |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) same side · consensus Moreirense FC | — | Moreirense FC $211 | — | Moreirense FC $627 |
| Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $84 | — | Under $688 |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $249 | — | No $310 |
| Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5) same side · consensus Venezia FC | — | Venezia FC $30 | — | Venezia FC $285 |
| Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5) same side · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg | — | Hertha BSC $175 | — | Hertha BSC $42 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $159 | — | Falcons $27 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $59 | — | Over $106 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $79 | — | Under $10 |