Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Under 33%
1 arb excluded
$2.4K
$1.8K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 11 top traders (27%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 65.8¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$1.8K | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Underavg 99¢ | $627.18 | $313 | -$1.18 | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 99¢ | $309.87 | $313 | +$3.13 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 38.3¢ | $197.48 | — | -$4.31 | |
UP UpTheBlues | Underavg 68.7¢ | $196.46 | $285.77 | +$89.31 | 58% 52330-38533 (90863) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 26.8¢ | $204.53 | — | -$61.03 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
SY SyrrokCTR<$100 | Overavg 1.1¢ | $3.29 | — | -$3.29 | 61% 1870-1190 (3060) |
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR<$100 | Overavg 22.3¢ | $32.12 | — | -$32.12 | 42% 8192-11384 (19576) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 26.8¢ | $21.31 | — | -$21.31 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 23.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 15008-15929 (30937) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Overavg 23.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 9429-7491 (16920) |
PV pvc975<$100 | Underavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 98% 18444-384 (18828) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Overavg 3.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 9585-10702 (20287) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 47904-34520 (82424) |
Invested
$1,761.24
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$627.18
Value
$313
PnL
-$1.18
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Both legs:
Invested
$196.46
Value
$285.77
PnL
+$89.31
Record
58%
52330-38533 (90863)
Invested
$204.53
Value
—
PnL
-$61.03
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$3.29
Value
—
PnL
-$3.29
Record
61%
1870-1190 (3060)
Invested
$32.12
Value
—
PnL
-$32.12
Record
42%
8192-11384 (19576)
Invested
$21.31
Value
—
PnL
-$21.31
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
15008-15929 (30937)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
9429-7491 (16920)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
98%
18444-384 (18828)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
9585-10702 (20287)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
47904-34520 (82424)