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OverOverUnderUnderUnderOverOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Millwall FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Under 60%
Total Value
$190.24
Combined PnL
-$353.45
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$190.24
Total Shares190
Combined PnL+$72.37
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,753
Combined PnL-$425.82
Over — 50%Under — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Overavg 66.8¢ | $76.6 | $113.25 | +$36.65 | 42% 8192-11384 (19576) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Overavg 60.5¢ | $63.53 | $76.98 | +$35.72 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 38.9¢ | $433.39 | — | -$433.39 | 58% 52330-38533 (90863) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 28.9¢ | $486.17 | — | -$182.19 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Underavg 38.1¢ | $307.52 | — | +$189.76 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 94.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 29172-29037 (58209) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 88.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 15008-15929 (30937) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 9585-10702 (20287) |
FE
ferrariChampions2026Invested
$76.6
Value
$113.25
PnL
+$36.65
Record
42%
8192-11384 (19576)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$63.53
Value
$76.98
PnL
+$35.72
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
UP
UpTheBluesCTRInvested
$433.39
Value
—
PnL
-$433.39
Record
58%
52330-38533 (90863)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$486.17
Value
—
PnL
-$182.19
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$307.52
Value
—
PnL
+$189.76
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
29172-29037 (58209)
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
15008-15929 (30937)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
9585-10702 (20287)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf7fb6144...7fe1b3
Slug
efl-mil-new-2026-09-08-total-0pt5