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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?

Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

No 40%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$262.52

Combined PnL

$7.62

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 15 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No10 traders

Total Value$232.35

Total Shares232

Combined PnL+$86.39

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares438

Combined PnL-$78.77

No — 67%Yes — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FE ferrariChampions2026	Noavg 62.9¢	$135.15	$214.75	+$79.6	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.8¢	$38.45	—	-$34.99	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Yesavg 27.8¢	$90.17	$30.17	-$29.83	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 27.8¢	$60.06	—	-$38.28
└ No leg	Noavg 72¢	$21.72	$30.17	+$8.45
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100	Yesavg 38.2¢	$42.23	—	-$42.23	58% 52330-38533 (90863)
PA Pan9X<$100	Noavg 81.1¢	$28.37	$17.6	+$6.34	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100	Yesavg 31.1¢	$1.55	—	-$1.55	57% 19479-14427 (33906)
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100	No	—	—	+$0	39% 7026-11132 (18158)
DO donthackme<$100	Noavg 75.9¢	—	—	+$0	55% 39043-31788 (70831)
CI cigarettes<$100	Noavg 69.8¢	—	—	+$0	50% 59994-58808 (118802)
AH aHjCz	Noavg 98.1¢	$103.98	—	+$0.45	36% 6093-11041 (17134)
GO GoalLineGhost<$100	Noavg 73¢	—	—	+$0	50% 29172-29037 (58209)
LU LuckyLoo<$100	Noavg 63¢	—	—	+$0	49% 15008-15929 (30937)
SN SnakeBall<$100	Noavg 54¢	—	—	+$0	51% 38648-37820 (76468)
NM NM-PCTR<$100	Yesavg 26¢	—	—	+$0	64% 10183-5729 (15912)
LR lryyy<$100	Noavg 83.8¢	—	—	+$0	47% 9585-10702 (20287)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Yesavg 26¢	—	—	+$0	58% 47904-34520 (82424)

ferrariChampions2026

Invested

$135.15

Value

$214.75

PnL

+$79.6

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$38.45

Value

—

PnL

-$34.99

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

FlaznorpARB<$100

Invested

$90.17

Value

$30.17

PnL

-$29.83

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

Both legs:

Yes$60.0627.8¢-$38.28

No$21.7272¢+$8.45

UpTheBluesCTR<$100

Invested

$42.23

Value

—

PnL

-$42.23

Record

58%

52330-38533 (90863)

Invested

$28.37

Value

$17.6

PnL

+$6.34

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

BillBenter2026CTR<$100

Invested

$1.55

Value

—

PnL

-$1.55

Record

57%

19479-14427 (33906)

0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

7026-11132 (18158)

donthackme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

39043-31788 (70831)

cigarettes<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

59994-58808 (118802)

Invested

$103.98

Value

—

PnL

+$0.45

Record

36%

6093-11041 (17134)

GoalLineGhost<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

29172-29037 (58209)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

15008-15929 (30937)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

38648-37820 (76468)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10183-5729 (15912)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

9585-10702 (20287)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 15 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc091b8d2...915906

Slug

kor-gwa-jej-2026-09-09-draw

Traders in this Market

ferrariChampions2026

No — $214.75

38791873984189

Yes — $0

Flaznorp

Arbitrage — excluded

UpTheBlues

Yes — $0

Pan9X

No — $17.6

BillBenter2026

Yes — $0

0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033

No — $0

donthackme

No — $0

cigarettes

No — $0

aHjCz

No — $0

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