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UnderUnderUnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Pisa SC vs. Virtus Entella: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$100.34
Combined PnL
-$290.09
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares310
Combined PnL-$367.61
Over1 trader
Total Value$100.34
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$77.52
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 71¢ | $85.97 | — | -$178.48 | 59% 33715-23828 (57543) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 73.9¢ | $137.56 | — | -$68.57 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 56.7¢ | $39.68 | — | -$93.88 | 49% 15008-15929 (30937) |
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Overavg 22.7¢ | $22.82 | $100.34 | +$77.52 | 42% 8192-11384 (19576) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 78.9¢ | $26.69 | — | -$26.69 | 58% 52330-38533 (90863) |
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$85.97
Value
—
PnL
-$178.48
Record
59%
33715-23828 (57543)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$137.56
Value
—
PnL
-$68.57
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$39.68
Value
—
PnL
-$93.88
Record
49%
15008-15929 (30937)
FE
ferrariChampions2026Invested
$22.82
Value
$100.34
PnL
+$77.52
Record
42%
8192-11384 (19576)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
$26.69
Value
—
PnL
-$26.69
Record
58%
52330-38533 (90863)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xba0f4efd...421e31
Slug
itsb-pis-ent-2026-09-11-total-4pt5