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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)60% (56 of 94 open)73% (141 of 194 open)73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $21KColts $63—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $4.9KBulls $11K76ers $797—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $33K——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53——
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $41KCommanders $320—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $747—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $17K——
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21KJets $4.3K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $1.1K——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Kings $5.2KHeat $298—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $345Over $3.6K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $2.7K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $80—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $346K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $339K—No $109K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $42KChiefs $5.4K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18KChiefs $248——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7.2KOver $1.3K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.6K—Bulls $215—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $107—
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Marta Kostyuk
—Marta Kostyuk $613Marta Kostyuk $309—
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
—Panthers $560Panthers $30—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $118Under $297—
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Green Bay Phoenix
—Green Bay Phoenix $249Green Bay Phoenix $59—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $196Mitchell Krueger $65—