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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | soapbubbles | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 82% (14–3, n=17) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $14.8M | $14K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #778 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 61% (97 of 159 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 68% (80 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 100% of 3) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 71% (won 92% of 12) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | soapbubbles | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | No $148 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $382 | — | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.1K | — | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | — | Under $3.2K |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.5K | — | Under $753 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.2K | — | Under $721 |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.4K | — | Under $2.3K |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $676 | — | No $2.9K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $268 | — | Under $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.6K |
| FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.1K | — | Under $154 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $223 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3 | — | Under $1.9K |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $535 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $35 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $36 |
| CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $742 | — | Yes $155 |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $686 | — | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $689 |
| Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $509 | — | Under $76 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $162 | — | No $288 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $347 |
| Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | — | Al Ahli Saudi Club $8 | — | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $13 | — | Under $240 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $148 | — | Under $98 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $90 | — | No $139 |
| AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4 | — | Under $161 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $133 | — | No $20 |
| Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $134 |
| Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $84 | — | Yes $40 |
| Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $76 | — | Under $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $28 | — | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $6.5K | — | — |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.6K | — | No $310 |
| Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | — | No $3.1K |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Sevilla FC | — | Sevilla FC $983 | — | Sevilla FC $3.4K |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $4.2K | — | Browns $65 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | — | Under $841 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $26 | — | No $2.3K |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | — | No $101 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $931 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Under $296 |
| Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $498 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $1.6K | — | Falcons $27 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $221 |
| Orgryte IS vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $788 | — | Over $260 |
| FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $607 | — | Under $367 |