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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | morito181 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6434–5955, n=12389) | 70% (705–302, n=1007) | 47% (13877–15390, n=29267) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $1.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #109 + pinned | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 74% (141 of 190 open) | 80% (145 of 182 open) | 50% (13 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.