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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRadioCCODRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)39% (127–195, n=322)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$37K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #957PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (146 of 218 open)83% (280 of 338 open)69% (33 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Soccer −1 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%41% of 258 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)74% (won 23% of 190)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 81% of 27)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)12% (won 94% of 31)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)4% (won 100% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRadioCCODRN1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $143K—Yes $9.3K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $4.9K—Sofya Lansere $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Borna Gojo $4.0K—Nikoloz Basilashvili $653
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Will FC København vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $101
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $80K—No $21K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $76K—Yes $1.3K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $9.1K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $1.6K—Lorenzo Sonego $18K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $10K—No $7.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $12K—No $2.3K
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.5K—Under $57
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3K—No $4.0K
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $1.3K
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.6K—Under $505
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $897—No $3.3K
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8K—Under $116
Will Club Brugge win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $188
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $331
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $147—Under $453
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 1 - 3 SS Lazio?
same side · consensus No
—No $167—No $18
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29