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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)84% (1272–235, n=1507)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$14.8M$91K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #23 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus56% (18 of 32 open)71% (189 of 266 open)65% (30 of 46 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Elections −5 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1845 at avg 79¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)13% (won 9% of 249)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)5% (won 51% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)6% (won 56% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)76% (won 97% of 1399)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1xxNyx
Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
—Mattia Bellucci $830Arthur Rinderknech $22K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17K——No $845
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $17K——Yes $825
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $943—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
opposite sides · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $1.9KJeline Vandromme $6.6K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.2K—Yes $573
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $1.8K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.9K—Yes $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $940Over $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—Yes $849
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $210Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Kira Pavlova
opposite sides · consensus Dalma Galfi
—Kira Pavlova $7Dalma Galfi $285—
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111—Yes $94
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
—Marcel Zielinski $136Carles Hernandez $26—
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $85Yes $62—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39KUnder $45—
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $16KPolina Kudermetova $5.3K—
Luanda: Suzan Lamens vs Kristina Kroitor
same side · consensus Kristina Kroitor
—Suzan Lamens $1.3KSuzan Lamens $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $1.5KOtto Virtanen $10K—
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $5.3KFelix Gill $5.3K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.3KNo $1.5K—
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $2.0KSamuele Pieri $1.6K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115No $3.3K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $44No $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $100Under $1.1K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379No $662—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Leonid Sheyngezikht $125Leonid Sheyngezikht $388—
W50 Heraklion: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Elena Korokozidi
same side · consensus Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
—Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $140Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $251—
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Vittoria Paganetti
—Vittoria Paganetti $56Vittoria Paganetti $312—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
—Maria Sakkari $175Maria Sakkari $136—
W50 Heraklion: Eliska Tichackova vs Alessandra Mazzola
same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova
—Eliska Tichackova $215Eliska Tichackova $96—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117Yes $162—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—