← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 38% (3421–5699, n=9120) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | -$473K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #252 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 66% (192 of 289 open) | 73% (571 of 786 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Weather −6 pts, n=589 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 56% (won 3% of 2296) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 4% (won 34% of 173) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 4% (won 49% of 168) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 36% (won 89% of 1464) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
32 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $409K | — | Yes $361 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | — | No $2.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | No $373 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.9K | — | No $123 | — |
| Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | Anastasia Zakharova $478 | — | Magda Linette $3.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $272 | — | No $1.9K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $368 | — | Under $1.7K |
| Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $67 | — | Over $1.8K |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $57 | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee | — | Middle Tennessee $1.2K | Western Kentucky $555 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $451 | — | No $412 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $15 | — | Under $282 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $151 | — | Yes $38 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $83 | — | Under $88 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $140 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $136 | — | Under $6 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $115 | — | Under $11 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | Yes $50 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $8 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $56K | — | No $26K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.6K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $63 | — |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $5.5K | — | No $8.7K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.4K |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $9.2K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7.3K | — | Yes $1.6K |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.0K | — | Under $905 |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $69 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | No $513 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $63 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | Yes $100 | — |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $612 | — | No $1.7K |
| Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2.0K | — | Under $14 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $324 | — | No $1.3K |
| Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $124 | — | No $1.5K |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $689 | — | Under $693 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $8 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Leeds United FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $817 | — | No $7 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |