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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankEnd123Flaznorpomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (271–144, n=415)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)
Consensus PnL$9.4M-$18K$3.3M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #784PM monthly #17PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)100% (1 of 1 open)65% (169 of 260 open)52% (84 of 161 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 410 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)14% (won 11% of 56)29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 40% of 42)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)31% (won 62% of 128)17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)45% (won 86% of 184)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankEnd123Flaznorpomnibus-076daa
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $651K—No $40KYes $1.6K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $17KUnder $11
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $11KOver $1.3K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $6.5KYes $114
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $2.2K
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $101Yes $3.0K
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $375Under $1.4K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.7KYes $10
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1.1KYes $393
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K——Yes $153
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Solana Sierra $286Leyre Romero Gormaz $740
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $89Yes $691
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $519Under $203
W35 Orlando, FL: Ema Burgic vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Ema Burgic
——Ema Burgic $653Luciana Perry $22
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $296Under $342
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $538Grizzlies $3
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
——Mika Stojsavljevic $37Zeynep Sonmez $454
Will AS FAR win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $357Yes $107
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $387Yes $23
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $197Over $140
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $297No $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $21Under $273
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Cavaliers $11Thunder $269
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $257Over $5
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
——Senators $196Sabres $15
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $143Over $28
Will AS FAR vs. Raja Club Athletic end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $86Yes $14
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $52Under $43
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
——Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $89
M15 Trois-Rivières: Louis Wessels vs Aadarsh Tripathi
opposite sides · consensus Aadarsh Tripathi
——Louis Wessels $3Aadarsh Tripathi $17
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Jazz $4Pelicans $4
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K——Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——Yes $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.3KNo $11K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $13KYes $35
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $7.1K—Celtics $215—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
——Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7KNishesh Basavareddy $896
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $4.3KNo $173
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $2.5KYes $322
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.7KNo $35
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K——Yes $69
Bucks vs. Celtics
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $2.1KCeltics $170
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.0KNo $124
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $18
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
——Giannicola Misasi $82Giannicola Misasi $2.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Tomas Barrios $1.9KTomas Barrios $56
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $1.6KPistons $42
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $20Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $1