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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)55% (1113–899, n=2012)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$37K$3.2M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #992was PM monthly #87PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus91% (29 of 32 open)50% (1 of 2 open)71% (61 of 86 open)77% (254 of 332 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +13 pts n=608, ROI +13%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%71% of 620 at avg 57¢, ROI +13%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)15% (won 11% of 90)—29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)17% (won 57% of 103)—16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)36% (won 80% of 225)—15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 94% of 202)—40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
——Arsenal FC $18KHull City AFC $50K
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
——Tennessee $44KKentucky $62
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toronto FC
——Philadelphia Union $299Toronto FC $24K
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.5KUnder $11K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $12KOver $1.2K
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5.5KUnder $905
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Maple Leafs $4.5KCanadiens $474
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $822Under $3.0K
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
——Hurricanes $2.6KBlackhawks $1
UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Keiichiro Nakamura
——Ollie Schmid $249Keiichiro Nakamura $174
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $33KOver $109K
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Carlos Alcaraz $26KCarlos Alcaraz $23K
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wild
——Wild $43KWild $46
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
——Thiago Seyboth Wild $22KThiago Seyboth Wild $7.2K
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $23KOver $184
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
same side · consensus Adrian Mannarino
——Adrian Mannarino $17KAdrian Mannarino $1.8K
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
——Thunder $15KThunder $213
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Houston Dynamo vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $10KUnder $2.4K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $4.8KCavaliers $5.0K
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $7.9KHawai'i $457
Arkansas vs. Auburn
same side · consensus Auburn
——Auburn $5.9KAuburn $33
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $5.1KUnder $2
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $44Bianca Andreescu $4.3K
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Jose Delano
——Murtazali Magomedov $3.9KMurtazali Magomedov $396
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $246Under $2.0K
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $586Under $74
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $241Under $214