Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Jose Delano — but Murtazali Magomedov won instead.

UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)

Resolved Murtazali Magomedov. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Jose Delano. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Jose Delano 37%

9 arb excluded

Total Value

$98.7K

Combined PnL

$-3.2K

Smart Money Signal

Jose Delano

9 of 27 top traders (33%)9 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Jose Delano0%

Murtazali Magomedov100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Jose Delano9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares83,249

Combined PnL$-44.8K

Murtazali Magomedov18 traders

Total Value$37.0K

Total Shares36,982

Combined PnL+$41.6K

Jose Delano — 33%Murtazali Magomedov — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-1772597907584CTR	Jose Delanoavg 52.6¢	$30.6K	—	$-30.6K	53% 201-175 (376)
TA takeormakeARB<$100	Murtazali Magomedovavg 57.9¢	$18.6K	$19.7K	+$1.1K	52% 5134-4713 (9847)
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 57.9¢	$11.4K	$19.7K	+$8.3K
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 63.4¢	$7.2K	—	$-7.2K
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	Murtazali Magomedovavg 45.6¢	$12.8K	$17.4K	+$4.6K	46% 1795-2102 (3897)
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 45.6¢	$7.9K	$17.4K	+$9.5K
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 51.9¢	$4.9K	—	$-4.9K
MU Multicoloured-SerfARB<$100	Murtazali Magomedovavg 38.5¢	$8.7K	$14.7K	+$6.0K	48% 405-446 (851)
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 38.5¢	$5.7K	$14.7K	+$9.1K
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 55.2¢	$3.0K	—	$-3.0K
VeryLucky888CTR	Jose Delanoavg 50.6¢	$9.0K	—	$-6.4K	58% 47904-34520 (82424)
OM omnibus-076daa	Murtazali Magomedovavg 49.9¢	$6.3K	$10.1K	+$3.8K	50% 21821-22062 (43883)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100	Jose Delanoavg 43.3¢	$3.5K	$3.2K	-$295.57	58% 3248-2345 (5593)
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 43.3¢	$2.4K	—	$-2.4K
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 35.8¢	$1.2K	$3.2K	+$2.1K
JO JokerTheClownCTR	Jose Delanoavg 53¢	$3.7K	—	$-3.7K	51% 4164-4032 (8196)
GA gaclfz	Murtazali Magomedovavg 55¢	$8.4K	$7.5K	+$6.7K	74% 1346-485 (1831)
CO CornerGamingARB<$100	Murtazali Magomedovavg 42.8¢	$2.7K	$3.5K	+$766.35	47% 14-16 (30)
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 42.8¢	$1.5K	$3.5K	+$2.0K
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 41.3¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K
elmcap2	Murtazali Magomedovavg 47.4¢	$3.0K	$6.4K	+$3.4K	89% 1725-207 (1932)
0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18CTR	Jose Delanoavg 57.2¢	$6.1K	—	$-3.6K	66% 653-338 (991)
FE ferrariChampions2026	Murtazali Magomedovavg 47¢	$2.0K	$3.9K	+$1.9K	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
PA pauleta23ARB<$100	Jose Delanoavg 66.5¢	$2.4K	$2.1K	-$297.9	65% 24597-12971 (37568)
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 56.5¢	$1.2K	$2.1K	+$895.49
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 66.5¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K
0X 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816	Murtazali Magomedovavg 48¢	$1.9K	$3.9K	+$2.0K	50% 549-553 (1102)
4751346	Murtazali Magomedovavg 52¢	$4.3K	$1.5K	+$1.7K	73% 1321-500 (1821)
dips.ARB<$100	Jose Delanoavg 64.8¢	$738.42	$657.3	-$81.12	47% 11040-12658 (23698)
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 64.8¢	$489.13	—	-$489.13
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 37.9¢	$249.29	$657.3	+$408.01
XT xtxpleasecallme	Murtazali Magomedovavg 99.9¢	$1,000	$1.0K	+$1	33% 20011-40834 (60845)
StreamLIVE	Murtazali Magomedovavg 50.2¢	$402	$800	+$412	55% 1290-1053 (2343)
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Murtazali Magomedovavg 40.4¢	$315.18	$395.54	+$80.36	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 40.4¢	$159.62	$395.54	+$235.92
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 46¢	$155.56	—	-$155.56
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR	Jose Delanoavg 48.4¢	$328.09	—	-$328.09	59% 6954-4900 (11854)
MA MadridTime	Murtazali Magomedovavg 50.2¢	$341.87	$681.1	+$339.23	48% 1776-1912 (3688)
VE Venusian	Murtazali Magomedovavg 50.2¢	$339.55	$676.07	+$336.52	49% 1844-1936 (3780)
CI cigarettesARB<$100	Jose Delanoavg 36.8¢	$196.97	$181.69	-$15.28	50% 59994-58808 (118802)
└ Jose Delano leg	Jose Delanoavg 36.8¢	$130.88	—	-$130.88
└ Murtazali Magomedov leg	Murtazali Magomedovavg 36.4¢	$66.09	$181.69	+$115.6
LI Limousin	Murtazali Magomedovavg 49.2¢	$121.58	$247.23	+$125.65	50% 1850-1866 (3716)

0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-1772597907584CTR

Jose Delano

Invested

$30,624.12

Value

—

PnL

$-30.6K

Record

53%

201-175 (376)

takeormakeARB<$100

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$18,605.63

Value

$19.7K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

52%

5134-4713 (9847)

Both legs:

Murtazali Magomedov$11,38857.9¢+$8.3K

Jose Delano$7,217.6363.4¢$-7.2K

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$12,782.66

Value

$17.4K

PnL

+$4.6K

Record

46%

1795-2102 (3897)

Both legs:

Murtazali Magomedov$7,918.0245.6¢+$9.5K

Jose Delano$4,864.6451.9¢$-4.9K

Multicoloured-SerfARB<$100

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$8,683.26

Value

$14.7K

PnL

+$6.0K

Record

48%

405-446 (851)

Both legs:

Murtazali Magomedov$5,677.7738.5¢+$9.1K

Jose Delano$3,005.4955.2¢$-3.0K

VeryLucky888CTR

Jose Delano

Invested

$8,986.74

Value

—

PnL

$-6.4K

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

omnibus-076daa

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$6,340.41

Value

$10.1K

PnL

+$3.8K

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100

Jose Delano

Invested

$3,518.26

Value

$3.2K

PnL

-$295.57

Record

58%

3248-2345 (5593)

Both legs:

Jose Delano$2,366.1343.3¢$-2.4K

Murtazali Magomedov$1,152.1335.8¢+$2.1K

JokerTheClownCTR

Jose Delano

Invested

$3,710

Value

—

PnL

$-3.7K

Record

51%

4164-4032 (8196)

gaclfz

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$8,351.84

Value

$7.5K

PnL

+$6.7K

Record

74%

1346-485 (1831)

CornerGamingARB<$100

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$2,701.6

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$766.35

Record

47%

14-16 (30)

Both legs:

Murtazali Magomedov$1,483.542.8¢+$2.0K

Jose Delano$1,218.0941.3¢$-1.2K

elmcap2

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$3,030.57

Value

$6.4K

PnL

+$3.4K

Record

89%

1725-207 (1932)

0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18CTR

Jose Delano

Invested

$6,124.91

Value

—

PnL

$-3.6K

Record

66%

653-338 (991)

ferrariChampions2026

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$1,993.53

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

pauleta23ARB<$100

Jose Delano

Invested

$2,358.79

Value

$2.1K

PnL

-$297.9

Record

65%

24597-12971 (37568)

Both legs:

Murtazali Magomedov$1,165.456.5¢+$895.49

Jose Delano$1,193.3966.5¢$-1.2K

0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$1,854.31

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$2.0K

Record

50%

549-553 (1102)

4751346

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$4,343.33

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$1.7K

Record

73%

1321-500 (1821)

dips.ARB<$100

Jose Delano

Invested

$738.42

Value

$657.3

PnL

-$81.12

Record

47%

11040-12658 (23698)

Both legs:

Jose Delano$489.1364.8¢-$489.13

Murtazali Magomedov$249.2937.9¢+$408.01

xtxpleasecallme

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$1,000

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$1

Record

33%

20011-40834 (60845)

StreamLIVE

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$402

Value

$800

PnL

+$412

Record

55%

1290-1053 (2343)

FlaznorpARB<$100

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$315.18

Value

$395.54

PnL

+$80.36

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

Both legs:

Murtazali Magomedov$159.6240.4¢+$235.92

Jose Delano$155.5646¢-$155.56

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR

Jose Delano

Invested

$328.09

Value

—

PnL

-$328.09

Record

59%

6954-4900 (11854)

MadridTime

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$341.87

Value

$681.1

PnL

+$339.23

Record

48%

1776-1912 (3688)

Venusian

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$339.55

Value

$676.07

PnL

+$336.52

Record

49%

1844-1936 (3780)

cigarettesARB<$100

Jose Delano

Invested

$196.97

Value

$181.69

PnL

-$15.28

Record

50%

59994-58808 (118802)

Both legs:

Jose Delano$130.8836.8¢-$130.88

Murtazali Magomedov$66.0936.4¢+$115.6

Limousin

Murtazali Magomedov

Invested

$121.58

Value

$247.23

PnL

+$125.65

Record

50%

1850-1866 (3716)

Smart Money Signal

Jose Delano

9 of 27 top traders (33%)9 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x5e3e5f3f...e7baec

Slug

ufc-jos60-mur2-2026-11-07

Traders in this Market

0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-1772597907584

Jose Delano — $0

takeormake

Arbitrage — excluded

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Arbitrage — excluded

Multicoloured-Serf

Arbitrage — excluded

VeryLucky888

Jose Delano — $0

omnibus-076daa

Murtazali Magomedov — $10.1K

+$3.8K

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Arbitrage — excluded

JokerTheClown

Jose Delano — $0

gaclfz

Murtazali Magomedov — $7.5K

CornerGaming

Arbitrage — excluded