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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (268–306, n=574) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.9K | $7.6M | $3.7M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 74% (304 of 409 open) | 57% (59 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $15K | No $8.0K |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC | — | — | Leeds United FC $21K | Tottenham Hotspur FC $45 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $11K | Yes $203 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton | — | — | Luca Van Assche $563 | Ben Shelton $9.0K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego | — | — | Lorenzo Sonego $8.4K | Olle Wallin $26 |
| Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.2K | Over $2.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.8K | Under $84 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.6K | Over $2.1K |
| Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.7K | Yes $288 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $22 | No $3.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 |
| Will Port FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2.6K | No $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.4K | Over $18 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.2K | Over $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $28 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $63 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $6 |
| Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.0K | Over $159 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $798 | Over $385 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $774 | Yes $150 |
| Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC | — | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $639 | Leeds United FC $4 |
| Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $526 | Yes $7 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $476 | Yes $9 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes opposite sides · consensus Damir Dzumhur | — | — | Damir Dzumhur $201 | Inaki Montes $169 |
| Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $250 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| FK Zemun vs. FK IMT Novi Beograd: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $71 | Under $132 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $152 | Yes $29 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $109 | Yes $6 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $20 | Yes $50 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $87K | No $27K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $36K | Under $5.2K |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $28K | No $11K |
| Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue | — | — | Noma Noha Akugue $1.1K | Noma Noha Akugue $25K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | Bianca Andreescu $8.4K |
| Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5) same side · consensus Holstein Kiel | — | — | Holstein Kiel $8.4K | Holstein Kiel $988 |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.8K | Under $5.6K |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $6.1K | Yes $3.2K |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | No $3.1K |
| VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Over $4.1K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.1K | Under $1.7K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.9K | No $692 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.0K | Under $401 |