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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$133-$9.5M$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #40was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)56% (5 of 9 open)64% (100 of 157 open)48% (19 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765Under $1.2KUnder $12KOver $1.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $14KNo $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54—Under $872Over $3.0K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $354No $146Yes $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Under $2.6KOver $36
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169Cavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $446Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—Yes $491No $524
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $21Over $1.3K—Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5—Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $203Under $41
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
——Tom Gentzsch $3.7KMax Houkes $1.0K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34—No $1.7K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9—No $1.2K—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $183Lakers $210
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $185—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.8KOver $88—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39—Over $956—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Max Dahlin $333Max Dahlin $495
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $166Lakers $461
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $596—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2—Over $523—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $197Lakers $248
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $155Lakers $282
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $354—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $162Raptors $116
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15—Yes $112—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $78—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $51Over $29
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $12—