Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xdda247bD26D5eE9499F5197096dEaff6B0074814-1767295291381HomeRunHazardnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)100% (4–0, n=4)52% (560–514, n=1074)53% (498–446, n=944)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$19K$410K$664K$475K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #885PM monthly #9PM monthly #75PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 5 open)63% (47 of 75 open)40% (28 of 70 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 5)12% (won 40% of 83)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 84)23% (won 65% of 158)0%
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 161)44% (won 77% of 300)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 20)20% (won 99% of 135)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xdda247bD26D5eE9499F5197096dEaff6B0074814-1767295291381HomeRunHazardnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.1KLions $1.3K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $10KPepperdine Waves $64K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $3.0KUtah $15K—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KOver $4.8K—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KOver $183—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.8KUnder $426—
Spread: Washington State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington State
—Washington State $2.6KColorado State $43—
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $1.9KWyoming $679—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $8.8K—Chiefs $6.2K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Chiefs $2.5KChiefs $12K—
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $3.6KFlames $10K—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $7.9K—Vikings $4.8K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $677—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6.7K—Vikings $5.4K
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $138Over $11K—
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KUnder $4.4K—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $1.5K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.2KDucks $578—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $1.1KColts $3—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $332Rockets $75—
Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—North Dakota State $125North Dakota State $147—
Spread: Utah State (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah State
—Utah State $17Utah State $218—
Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—North Dakota State $9North Dakota State $166—