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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)48% (12–13, n=25)71% (2093–854, n=2947)48% (503–542, n=1045)68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$31K$387K$528K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #836PM monthly #13PM monthly #20was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (150 of 288 open)61% (19 of 31 open)90% (9 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighZzzz87
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $9.4KTaylor Fritz $80KTaylor Fritz $219
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
—Wales $3.2KNorway $15K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3KUnder $15K—
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $719—Over $15K
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $997Under $4.6K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.4KDenmark $3.9K—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $1.0K
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
opposite sides · consensus Alex Marti Pujolras
—Alex Marti Pujolras $1.4KRaffaele Ciurnelli $72—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $489Kentucky $916—
China PR vs. Malaysia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $1.3K
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $214—Yes $612
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $144—
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $173—Over $239
Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.1KUnder $3.7K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.4K—
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $854—Yes $373
M15 Roldan: Juan Estevez vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Juan Estevez
—Juan Estevez $188Juan Estevez $149—
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women
same side · consensus Uganda Women
—Uganda Women $94Uganda Women $200—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $153
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
—Lumbini Lions $18Lumbini Lions $25—
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22Yes $17—
Will Malaysia win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $25—Yes $2
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
same side · consensus 9INE
—WRAITH PCIFIC $1WRAITH PCIFIC $3—