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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188asdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)56% (10–8, n=18)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)
Consensus PnL$792K—$410K$398K
Tracked asPM monthly #28PM monthly #913PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position54% (105 of 193 open)67% (99 of 148 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=381—
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 4)—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 6)—11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188asdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $1.3KThunder $12K
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $958Over $3.2K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $1.1KTrail Blazers $376
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $1.2KWarriors $1
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
——Saint Mary's Gaels $773UIC Flames $3
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $8
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
——Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $348Over $10
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13Over $35
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $1.0KSpurs $25K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $608Spurs $15K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $8.6K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $922Under $6.0K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $301Spurs $5.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $2.7KTrail Blazers $2.4K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $387Thunder $3.6K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Predators
——Predators $203Predators $3.6K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $625Clippers $1.7K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $220Clippers $198
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $226Kings $119
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $4Warriors $173
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $20Colorado $101