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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465omnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)50% (15507–15590, n=31097)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.1M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus69% (11 of 16 open)56% (104 of 185 open)65% (33 of 51 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465omnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $20——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $6.7KLorenzo Musetti $811——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $511—No $4.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $60No $2.3K—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $70No $1.9K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16—No $1.1K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
W35 Orlando, FL: Evialina Laskevich vs Aspen Schuman
opposite sides · consensus Evialina Laskevich
—Aspen Schuman $4Evialina Laskevich $399—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $161Yes $2——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $4Jo-Yee Chan $36—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $95KMagic $255——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52KYes $2.4K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $36Yes $11K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
—Dalibor Svrcina $3.7KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $3.0K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $37—Yes $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $87Max Hans Rehberg $834—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34—Under $378
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70Yes $330——
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Ivan Gakhov $149Ivan Gakhov $225—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
same side · consensus Greet Minnen
—Lisa Pigato $7Lisa Pigato $142—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $40Yes $23——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $36—Yes $3
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3Under $35—
W35 Orlando, FL: Vivian Wolff vs Edda Mamedova
same side · consensus Vivian Wolff
—Vivian Wolff $16Vivian Wolff $9—