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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3326, n=7862) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) | 71% (94–39, n=133) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.6M | $3.2M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #850 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (15 of 26 open) | 75% (212 of 281 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) | 29% (4 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 14% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 8% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 12% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 66% (won 95% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | No $494 | No $15K | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | Under $238 | — | — |
| Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | Under $943 | — | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | Yes $757 | — |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | Yes $10 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $10 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | Yes $154 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Athletic Club $354 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $64 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | No $249 | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $368 | — | Yes $10 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $351 | — | Yes $10 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Athletic Club $226 | — |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $243 | — | Yes $10 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $171 | — | Yes $10 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $133 | Yes $2 | — |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $57 | — | Yes $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Under $21K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $3.1K | — |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $12K | Over $830 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | No $5.4K | — |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7.6K | Over $65 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | No $2.7K | — |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | No $3.4K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Under $1.5K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | No $1.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | Yes $153 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $334 | Under $749 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $104 | Under $960 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | Over $7 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | Under $801 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | Under $595 | — |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | Yes $196 | — | — | Yes $10 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | Yes $52 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $129 | CD Pamplona $6 | — |