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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (15994–16023, n=32017)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)49% (20671–21624, n=42295)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$2.9M$14.8M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #98PM monthly #177PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus72% (63 of 87 open)53% (93 of 176 open)58% (53 of 91 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9204)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8622)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.7KUnder $21K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $17No $9.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $257Yes $5.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $6Magda Linette $3.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $2.7K
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $142No $2.3K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $71
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16—No $1.1K
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $24Yes $288—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $204Under $79—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141No $60—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3No $5—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $12KNo $26K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $34K—Under $2.6K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $1.1KBen Shelton $25K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $4——
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $150No $8.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $3.1K
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.6KNo $1.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $35—Yes $3.5K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $24Over $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $162Under $905—
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
same side · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
—1. FSV Mainz 05 $8381. FSV Mainz 05 $48—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $22No $513—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
Over $506Over $5——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34—Under $378
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $126Yes $63—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $21No $140—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $35—Yes $2
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $18Yes $3—