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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | paperclip-maxxer | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (387–447, n=834) | 54% (312–261, n=573) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 57% (37–28, n=65) |
| Consensus PnL | $509K | $425K | $90K | $440K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #135 | PM monthly #363 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (27 of 54 open) | 50% (55 of 110 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 4 at avg 70¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 17) | 14% (won 32% of 72) | 0% | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 55% of 121) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 137) | 44% (won 69% of 222) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 43% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 21) | 18% (won 98% of 89) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | paperclip-maxxer | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | — | Gen.G $94K |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Pacers $20K | Knicks $486 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $7.4K | Grizzlies $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Bulls $13K | Hawks $3.0K | — | — |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.3K | — | — |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $10K | Over $674 | — | — |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Greece | Greece $10K | Netherlands $17 | — | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | Yes $2.5K | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $367 | Under $5.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $3.4K | Grizzlies $966 | — | — |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | Over $585 | — | — |
| Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.2K | Under $482 | — | — |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $1.2K | Houston $75 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Knicks $397 | Pacers $21 | — | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $337K | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $211K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $11K | Over $151 | — | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | Canucks $11K | Canucks $508 | — | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.4K | Over $1.9K | — | — |
| Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5.6K | Over $285 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $460 | Spurs $4.7K | — | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.8K | Over $308 | — | — |
| Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.1K | Over $28 | — | — |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.6K | Over $520 | — | — |
| Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | Under $58 | — | — |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $461 | Yes $10 |