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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
haveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (473–506, n=979)55% (370–304, n=674)63% (48–28, n=76)
Consensus PnL$0$437K$436K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #21PM monthly #95PM monthly #12 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (35 of 67 open)51% (53 of 103 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkethaveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $3.5KClippers $14KThunder $3.8K
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Clippers $875Thunder $146K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $27KKings $1.8K—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $3.2KHouston $5.8K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.8KUnder $162—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $5.5KTrail Blazers $1.9K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $700Houston $4.5K—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $2.3KThunder $2.5K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $4.7K—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $847Over $344—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
——Team Falcons $985Team Falcons $136K
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $24KUCLA $1.9K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Golden Knights $16KGolden Knights $103—
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
—Houston $793Houston $6.8K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.7KOver $425—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $6.7KThunder $55—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $465Thunder $11—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $3Predators $423—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $21Over $273—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $29Over $70—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32Under $11—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. California Baptist Lancers
same side · consensus California Baptist Lancers
—Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions $18Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions $12—