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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
haveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)48% (473–506, n=979)63% (48–28, n=76)
Consensus PnL$0$358K$437K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #8PM monthly #21PM monthly #12 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (91 of 133 open)52% (35 of 67 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkethaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $2.6KClippers $3.5KThunder $3.8K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $379Trail Blazers $27K—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $346UCLA $24K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $7.8K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $2.1KGolden Knights $16K—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $8.7KClippers $2.3K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $558Kings $5.5K—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $810Under $847—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $558Under $418—
Spread: Houston (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $786Houston $23—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $61Trail Blazers $281—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $5.5KThunder $6.7K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11KUnder $7—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $100Trail Blazers $10K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $99Over $6.7K—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $840Colorado $3.2K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $29—
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $446UCLA $3.2K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $2.8KColorado $700—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $1—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $59Clippers $608—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $315Clippers $242—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $33Kings $13—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $2Kings $3—