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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| guilttrip | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 46% (387–447, n=834) | 54% (312–261, n=573) | 57% (37–28, n=65) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $509K | $425K | $440K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #751 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #135 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 27% (25 of 94 open) | 64% (46 of 72 open) | 55% (56 of 102 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 17) | 14% (won 32% of 72) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 38% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 55% of 121) | 32% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 49% (won 100% of 137) | 44% (won 69% of 222) | 43% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 21) | 18% (won 98% of 89) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | guilttrip | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $91K |
| Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Bianca Andreescu opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $21K | Polona Hercog $33 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Pacers $20K | Knicks $486 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Bulls $13K | Hawks $2.5K | — |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $10K | Over $674 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $7.6K | Grizzlies $196 | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $4.7K | — |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $597 | — |
| Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | Under $482 | — |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $266 | Over $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Knicks $397 | Pacers $21 | — |
| Will Kuwait vs. Syria end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | No $177 | — | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $337K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $211K |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | Under $403 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $11K | Over $151 | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | Canucks $11K | Canucks $508 | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.4K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.6K | Over $130 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.8K | Over $308 | — |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | Over $520 | — |
| Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | — | Yes $2.6K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $3.4K | Pelicans $220 | — |
| Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Under $58 | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $367 | Over $44 | — |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | Yes $45 | — | — | Yes $10 |