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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | suntori | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 58% (501–362, n=863) |
| Consensus PnL | $430K | $261K | $152K | -$38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 | was PM monthly #792 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (77 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 46% (103 of 224 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | suntori |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $7.2K | — | Under $25 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.6K | — | Under $28 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $4.4K | — | Trail Blazers $66 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $5 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Warriors $90 | — | Rockets $637 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $454 | — | Over $9 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $37 | — | Over $79 |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $3 | — | Jazz $81 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $63 | — | Over $14 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $22 | — | Under $16 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | — | Over $6 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Rockets $30K | — | Rockets $3 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Golden Knights $14K | — | Golden Knights $16 |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $11 |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.3K | — | Under $54 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $5.2K | — | Thunder $7 |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $3.7K | — | Magic $41 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.0K | — | Over $1.1K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | — | Over $15 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | — | Over $9 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $1.2K | — | Pistons $59 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $905 | — | Over $16 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $114 | — | Thunder $22 |
| Pacific Tigers vs. Long Beach State Beach same side · consensus Pacific Tigers | — | Long Beach State Beach $38 | — | Long Beach State Beach $50 |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Timberwolves $66 | — | Timberwolves $7 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $20 | — | Magic $51 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $9 | — | Thunder $12 |