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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)48% (19707–21460, n=41167)58% (156–114, n=270)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$14.9M$34K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #929
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)66% (80 of 121 open)50% (15 of 30 open)54% (15 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1SilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12KOver $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0KOver $91
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315Yes $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1KOver $10
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12Yes $8
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
Tomas Machac $9.2KTomas Machac $2.9KTomas Machac $16K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
—Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—Woking FC $690
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $277—Cavaliers $708—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $18
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 1 - 1 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $71—Yes $123
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
opposite sides · consensus maybe
maybe $15MASONIC $9——
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $47KCosme Rolland De Ravel $6.4K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $4.5KUgo Humbert $17K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $4
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412—Under $316
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $104
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32—Yes $107
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 5 - 5 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $11—No $12
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 5 - 4 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $11—No $6