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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpLooksMaxing101ndb1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)51% (892–864, n=1756)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$35K$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9was PM monthly #810PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus60% (56 of 93 open)74% (145 of 195 open)54% (7 of 13 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +45 pts n=545, ROI +44%
  • NBA +49 pts n=32, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=212, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 868 at avg 55¢, ROI +43%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)4% (won 97% of 39)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)24% (won 98% of 209)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)56% (won 99% of 482)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)16% (won 99% of 138)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpLooksMaxing101ndb1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $60KCommanders $320——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $873——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $21KColts $63——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $11K76ers $656——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $8.0KUnder $222——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $345Over $3.2K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $53—Giants $1.6K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $80——
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4Calvin Hemery $973——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $57KBroncos $1.4K——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K——
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $12KOver $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Stefan Kozlov
Stefan Kozlov $9.0KStefan Kozlov $4.2K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $9.8KLinda Noskova $909——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.2KOver $1.3K——
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $2.7K—Browns $3.0K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $3.5K—Rams $1.8K—
Jets vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Under $1.6K—
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.3K—Over $1.5K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $560Panthers $30——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118Under $297——
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
Mitchell Krueger $263Mitchell Krueger $108——
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Green Bay Phoenix
Green Bay Phoenix $249Green Bay Phoenix $59——