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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788haveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)48% (473–506, n=979)
Consensus PnL$590K$0$358K$437K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #843PM monthly #8PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position68% (91 of 133 open)52% (35 of 67 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788haveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $379Trail Blazers $27K
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $346UCLA $24K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $7.8K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $2.1KGolden Knights $16K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $8.7KClippers $2.3K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $558Kings $5.5K
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $810Under $847
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $558Under $418
Spread: Houston (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $786Houston $23
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $61Trail Blazers $281
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $5.5KThunder $6.7K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $11KUnder $7
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $100Trail Blazers $10K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $99Over $6.7K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $2.6KClippers $3.5K
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $840Colorado $3.2K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KOver $29
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
——UCLA $446UCLA $3.2K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KColorado $700
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.1KUnder $1
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $59Clippers $568
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $315Clippers $242
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $33Kings $13
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $2Kings $3