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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| MadridTime | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (619–570, n=1189) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.9K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (150 of 265 open) | 62% (123 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 20) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 100% of 83) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 100% of 201) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
59 on the same side, 54 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MadridTime | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | No $17K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $6.5K | Yes $8.8K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic | Juan Pablo Varillas $1.2K | Filip Misolic $9.6K |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Villarreal CF | Villarreal CF $2.1K | Paris Saint-Germain FC $8.2K |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4 | Over $6.0K |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $15 | No $5.8K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $68 | No $5.6K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | No $4.3K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | Under $2.6K |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $300 | Over $2.1K |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.9K | No $439 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $174 | Yes $2.1K |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $148 | Yes $2.0K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $15 | Over $2.0K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | No $426 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | Yes $36 |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.7K | No $129 |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $117 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $71 | No $1.4K |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $1.3K |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $23 | No $1.3K |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $200 | No $957 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $168 | Under $924 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $17 | Under $1.1K |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina | Dalibor Svrcina $819 | Norbert Gombos $24 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $12 | Over $761 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $86 | No $665 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | No $707 | Yes $14 |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $613 | Over $42 |
| Will Birmingham City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | No $636 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | No $433 |
| Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $137 | No $302 |
| Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Lille OSC | FK Bodø/Glimt $406 | Lille OSC $2 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $46 | Under $354 |
| Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $258 | Yes $128 |
| FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $80 | No $281 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $324 | Over $23 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14 | Yes $319 |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $307 | Under $2 |
| Lille OSC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $274 | Yes $7 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $208 | Over $30 |
| Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $73 | Yes $154 |
| Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC | AS Roma $35 | Manchester United FC $133 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $77 | Yes $43 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $44 | Over $55 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $15 | Under $70 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8 | Under $74 |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $62 | Over $19 |
| Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $41 | Yes $35 |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $47 | Over $9 |