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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)52% (619–570, n=1189)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$6.1M-$2.9K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #789PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)75% (41 of 55 open)61% (35 of 57 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)55% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4MadridTimeRN1
Costa do Sauipe: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas
opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic
—Juan Pablo Varillas $1.2KFilip Misolic $9.6K
Bratislava 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $3.0KShintaro Mochizuki $20
Charlottesville: Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Milavsky
—Daniel Milavsky $1.2KAlexis Galarneau $695
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos
opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
—Dalibor Svrcina $819Norbert Gombos $24
Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera
—Marina Bassols Ribera $134Sofia Costoulas $70
Will Deportivo Pereira vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $39No $54
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $24Rebeka Masarova $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Casper Ruud $11KCasper Ruud $39K
Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli
—Franco Roncadelli $25KFranco Roncadelli $10K
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Laura Pigossi
same side · consensus Julia Grabher
—Julia Grabher $3.9KJulia Grabher $26K
Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert
same side · consensus Simona Waltert
—Simona Waltert $5.2KSimona Waltert $9.0K
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Valerio Aboian
—Valerio Aboian $4.7KValerio Aboian $8.0K
Cali: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Despina Papamichail
same side · consensus Despina Papamichail
—Despina Papamichail $2.9KDespina Papamichail $6.6K
Villa Maria: Dante Pagani vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Murkel Dellien
—Murkel Dellien $8Murkel Dellien $7.5K
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
—Lautaro Midon $2.2KLautaro Midon $4.2K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Trevor Svajda
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $2.0KMax Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Cali: Valentina Mediorreal vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $638Julia Riera $5.0K
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans
—Kimmer Coppejans $464Kimmer Coppejans $3.1K
Costa do Sauipe: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
same side · consensus Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
—Luis Felipe Miguel $232Luis Felipe Miguel $1.6K
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $784Genaro Alberto Olivieri $710
Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $408Bianca Andreescu $837
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $365No $422
Deportivo Pereira vs. CD Tolima: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $46Over $400
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $256Joao Lucas Da Silva $18