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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)46% (1221–1421, n=2642)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$1.5K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #577PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)45% (29 of 64 open)65% (69 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 734 at avg 71¢, ROI +30%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)7% (won 100% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)20% (won 100% of 144)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)15% (won 100% of 112)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 100% of 427)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Spread: South Florida (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $104East Carolina $1.5K
Spread: New Mexico (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nevada
—New Mexico $613Nevada $816
Spread: South Florida (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $2East Carolina $1.2K
Spread: South Florida (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $15East Carolina $971
Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1Over $82
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7KNo $6.2K
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $367—Timberwolves $940
Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $28Under $696
Will Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $470Yes $21
Club Santos Laguna leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $8No $76
Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2Yes $70