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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)50% (786–771, n=1557)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$11.2M-$4.4K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #789PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (20 of 37 open)65% (42 of 65 open)64% (25 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)55% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Katie Boulter $1.3KClaire Liu $45K
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $16Deborah Chiesa $838
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
opposite sides · consensus Filippo Romano
—Filippo Romano $317Peter Makk $214
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
opposite sides · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Jeline Vandromme $83Robin Montgomery $322
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $8.6KQuentin Halys $9.6K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $6.8KPolina Kudermetova $5.5K
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Thomas Faurel
—Thomas Faurel $937Thomas Faurel $7.1K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $3.9KFelix Gill $3.7K