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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Zzzz87 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | no settled market | 48% (503–542, n=1045) | 68% (86–41, n=127) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | — | $528K | $305K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #714 | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #666 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (121 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (29 of 51 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | — | 36% (won 100% of 120) | 15% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | — | 50% (won 100% of 166) | 37% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | — | 7% (won 100% of 24) | 46% (won 100% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Zzzz87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $41 | — | Hurricanes $34K | — |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Texas A&M $250 | — | Tennessee $25K | — |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $9.3K | — | Under $14K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.4K | — | USC $14K | — |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | Ohio State $438 | — | Northwestern $15K | — |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $2.6K | — | Middle Tennessee $6.3K | — |
| Syracuse vs. NC State opposite sides · consensus Syracuse | NC State $2.1K | — | Syracuse $4.7K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Denmark | — | — | Denmark $4.0K | Portugal $329 |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | LSU Tigers $1.5K | — | Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K | — |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $209 | — | Texas $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $18 | — | Kentucky $1.2K | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | Kansas $6.4K | — | Kansas $21K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $4.5K | — | Over $13K | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | Lightning $783 | — | Lightning $10K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $691 | — | New Mexico $6.3K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) same side · consensus UConn | UConn $2.5K | — | UConn $628 | — |
| Spread: Nevada (-5.5) same side · consensus Nevada | Nevada $100 | — | Nevada $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $199 | — | Pistons $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $3 | — | Mavericks $1.2K | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins same side · consensus Bruins | Bruins $574 | — | Bruins $400 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-14.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $2 | — | Virginia Tech $373 | — |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | Miami (FL) $49 | — | Miami (FL) $144 | — |