← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 69% (206–92, n=298) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $75K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #184 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (156 of 242 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 60% (102 of 170 open) | 76% (28 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 330 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 12% (won 23% of 39) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 11% (won 46% of 37) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 9% (won 66% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 68% (won 91% of 225) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 | — |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | — | Over $84 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | Maxwell McKennon $823 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K | — |
| Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $47 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | No $529 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $713 | — | Over $268 | — |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $213 | — | No $677 | — |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $813 | — | Under $2 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $220 | — | Hawks $426 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $273 | — |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $480 | — | Under $6 | — |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $310 | — | Under $33 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $215 | — | Grizzlies $118 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $123 | — | Over $86 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Hawks $31 | — | Wizards $89 | — |
| Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate | Carlos Maria Zarate $21 | — | Lucio Ratti $18 | — |
| Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $6.1K | — | Marcos Giron $17K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — | Arthur Fils $11K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K | — |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $6.7K | — | No $3.3K | — |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | No $553 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $44 | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.5K | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt same side · consensus Max Wiskandt | Hiroki Sakagawa $1.3K | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $864 | — |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $257 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $42 | — | No $1.3K | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Under $75 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | Yes $241 | — | Yes $961 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $776 | — | 76ers $240 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $720 | — | Over $165 | — |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | Solana Sierra $286 | — | Solana Sierra $476 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $720 | — | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $383 | — | Raptors $246 | — |
| CR Flamengo leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | No $444 | — | No $9 | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $40 | — | Under $371 | — |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $172 | — | Under $120 | — |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $239 | — | Under $46 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Rockets | Timberwolves $122 | — | Timberwolves $126 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Wizards | Wizards $215 | — | Wizards $21 | — |