Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1NM-P
Record (consensus markets)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)63% (993–576, n=1569)82% (5443–1157, n=6600)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$4.8M$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #97PM monthly #514
Sides with the consensus75% (114 of 153 open)69% (52 of 75 open)70% (62 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1NM-P
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $24
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $55
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $915—Under $34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $621—No $142
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $402—Notre Dame $358
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $553—No $58
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $159—Seahawks $403
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Broncos $298—Panthers $181
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K—No $749
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K—No $747
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $496
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $326
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $142
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $7
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $155—No $794
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $233—No $692
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $782—No $70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $359—No $454
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $512—No $3
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $308—No $161
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $222—Yes $18
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $154—No $33
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $10—No $43