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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | NagastaBagambi | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 45% (22–27, n=49) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $5.6M | $22K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (181 of 263 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 60% (108 of 180 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 96% of 24 at avg 35¢, ROI +65% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 38% (won 100% of 9) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 54% (won 92% of 13) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
40 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | NagastaBagambi | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo | CR Flamengo $8.8K | — | — | Grêmio FBPA $89 |
| Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.2K | — | — | Yes $1.5K |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.2K | — | — | Over $69 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $317 | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $35 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | Maxwell McKennon $823 | — | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $375 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | — | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $713 | — | — | Over $268 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $220 | — | — | Hawks $678 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $213 | — | — | No $677 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $304 | — | — | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Hawks $237 | — | — | Wizards $98 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $215 | — | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $124 | — | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $123 | — | — | Over $86 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $32 | — | — | Pacers $139 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Lakers $27 | — | — | Kings $129 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3 | — | — | Over $149 |
| Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 0 Grêmio FBPA? opposite sides · consensus No | No $140 | — | — | Yes $11 |
| Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20 | — | — | Yes $5 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $17K | — | — | No $6.1K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | — | Yes $5.3K |
| Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $7.6K | — | — | No $765 |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $2.6K | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $2.5K | — | — | No $1.9K |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | — | No $3 |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | No $3.0K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | — | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $42 | — | — | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | — | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $101 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $968 | — | — | Over $132 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $776 | — | — | 76ers $240 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $751 | — | — | Over $232 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $931 | — | — | Over $52 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $720 | — | — | Over $165 |
| Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA? same side · consensus No | No $428 | — | — | No $352 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | Solana Sierra $286 | — | — | Solana Sierra $476 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $720 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $383 | — | — | Raptors $246 |