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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2399–968, n=3367) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (403–333, n=736) |
| Consensus PnL | $416K | $318K | $2.4K | $412K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (95 of 192 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 57% (103 of 182 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $25 | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $4.9K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $306 | — | — | Nets $23K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $1.4K | — | — | Nets $19K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $151 | — | — | Nets $17K |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $851 | — | — | Yes $6.8K |
| Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $495 | — | — | Over $3.7K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $906 | — | — | Mavericks $124 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | — | — | Oklahoma $507 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $94 | — | — | Timberwolves $548 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | — | — | Nets $579 |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $112 | — | — | Jets $29 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $5.4K | — | — | Nets $33K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $420 | — | — | Heat $9.5K |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Kentucky | Florida $2.9K | — | — | Florida $6.7K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $9 | — | — | Georgia State $863 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $637 | — | — | Arkansas $12 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $374 | — | — | Texas Tech $177 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | Yes $232 | — | — | Yes $83 |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $3 | — | — | Kansas $188 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D same side · consensus Froglings | 1win $4 | — | — | 1win $101 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Blackhawks | Jets $14 | — | — | Jets $52 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | — | — | Colts $3 |