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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ETHhedge | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2239–910, n=3149) | 54% (448–384, n=832) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $432K | $332K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #9 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 48% (154 of 323 open) | 62% (156 of 250 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 396) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 215) | 31% (won 100% of 70) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 63% of 112) | 60% (won 100% of 135) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 265) | 7% (won 100% of 16) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina | — | Arkansas State $375 | Coastal Carolina $8.7K |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $377 | Pistons $2.7K |
| Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $13 | Under $1.5K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $625 | South Carolina $263 |
| West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $99 | Under $426 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Duke $314 | Miami (FL) $50 |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | — | Colorado Buffaloes $207 | Providence Friars $3 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $102 | Under $67 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $75 | Over $28 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $6.2K | Pelicans $17K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $4.3K | Nets $5.4K |
| Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5) same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves | — | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $5.9K | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $1.8K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | — | Kansas $3 | Kansas $6.5K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $98 | Nets $3.7K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 130.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $281 | Over $1.6K |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5) same side · consensus Bradley Braves | — | George Mason Patriots $72 | George Mason Patriots $1.3K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $169 | Falcons $1.2K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | Texas Tech $25 | Texas Tech $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K |
| Northwestern vs. Ohio State same side · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $198 | Northwestern $862 |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $37 | Under $615 |
| Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5) same side · consensus Colorado State Rams | — | Loyola Chicago Ramblers $38 | Loyola Chicago Ramblers $238 |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5) same side · consensus George Mason Patriots | — | Bradley Braves $83 | Bradley Braves $110 |
| Spread: Akron Zips (-11.5) same side · consensus Akron Zips | — | Tulane Green Wave $6 | Tulane Green Wave $43 |