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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188ETHhedgeFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market71% (2239–910, n=3149)54% (448–384, n=832)
Consensus PnL$856K—$432K$332K
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #879PM monthly #13PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (164 of 331 open)64% (163 of 256 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%—40% (won 5% of 396)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)—22% (won 41% of 215)31% (won 100% of 70)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)—11% (won 63% of 112)60% (won 100% of 135)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 16)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188ETHhedgeFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Mavericks $9.7KCavaliers $5.2K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
——Arkansas State $327Coastal Carolina $8.7K
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $377Pistons $2.7K
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13Under $1.5K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——Arkansas $625South Carolina $263
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $99Under $426
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Duke $314Miami (FL) $50
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
——Colorado Buffaloes $207Providence Friars $3
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $105Under $67
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $75Over $28
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $17K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $4.3KNets $5.4K
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves
——Charleston Southern Buccaneers $5.9KCharleston Southern Buccaneers $1.8K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
——Kansas $3Kansas $6.5K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $132Cavaliers $3.7K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $98Nets $3.7K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 130.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $281Over $1.6K
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bradley Braves
——George Mason Patriots $72George Mason Patriots $1.3K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
——Texas Tech $25Texas Tech $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
——Northwestern $198Northwestern $862
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $37Under $615
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
same side · consensus George Mason Patriots
——George Mason Patriots $391George Mason Patriots $10
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5)
same side · consensus Colorado State Rams
——Loyola Chicago Ramblers $38Loyola Chicago Ramblers $238
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
same side · consensus George Mason Patriots
——Bradley Braves $83Bradley Braves $110
Spread: Akron Zips (-11.5)
same side · consensus Akron Zips
——Tulane Green Wave $6Tulane Green Wave $43