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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (475–253, n=728)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$24K$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #489PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)64% (100 of 157 open)48% (19 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $3.7KMax Houkes $1.0K
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.4KYes $659—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
opposite sides · consensus Duke Blue Devils
North Texas Mean Green $1.9K—Duke Blue Devils $43
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169Cavaliers $708
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $799No $10—
Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $413No $132—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183Lakers $210
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $59Yes $1—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4KNo $93—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Max Dahlin $333Max Dahlin $495
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $197Lakers $248
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $155Lakers $282
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162Raptors $116
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29