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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)no settled market50% (93–93, n=186)47% (158–181, n=339)
Consensus PnL$779K—$41K-$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #485PM monthly #19PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position63% (26 of 41 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +2 pts n=35, ROI 0%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −3 pts, n=23Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%57% of 84 at avg 61¢, ROI −7%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)18% (won 7% of 15)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)17% (won 64% of 14)19% (won 29% of 17)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)30% (won 48% of 25)13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)36% (won 87% of 30)34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpRN1
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland Pilots
——Portland Pilots $3.0KHawaii Rainbow Warriors $16
Brisbane 3: Enzo Aguiard vs Akira Santillan
same side · consensus Akira Santillan
——Akira Santillan $2.2KAkira Santillan $2.2K
W75 Brisbane: Sohyun Park vs Naiktha Bains
same side · consensus Sohyun Park
——Naiktha Bains $260Naiktha Bains $181