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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0HomeRunHazardnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (560–514, n=1074)53% (498–446, n=944)55% (12–10, n=22)
Consensus PnL—$410K$664K$91K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #9PM monthly #75was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (47 of 74 open)41% (28 of 68 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 5)12% (won 40% of 83)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 84)23% (won 65% of 158)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 161)44% (won 77% of 300)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 20)20% (won 99% of 135)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0HomeRunHazardnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $11KPepperdine Waves $54K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $3.0KUtah $15K—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KOver $4.8K—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KOver $183—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.8KUnder $426—
Spread: Washington State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington State
—Washington State $2.5KColorado State $71—
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $1.9KWyoming $679—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Chiefs $2.5KChiefs $12K—
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $3.6KFlames $10K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $677—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.1K—
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $138Over $11K—
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KUnder $4.4K—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $1.2K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.2KDucks $578—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $1.1KColts $3—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $332Rockets $75—
Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—North Dakota State $125North Dakota State $147—
Spread: Utah State (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah State
—Utah State $17Utah State $218—
Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—North Dakota State $9North Dakota State $166—