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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPondermint
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)67% (432–213, n=645)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$176K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #383
Sides with the consensus80% (43 of 54 open)65% (35 of 54 open)71% (105 of 148 open)36% (4 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15MLB −2 pts, n=89
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%70% of 501 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 11% of 66)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)11% (won 38% of 56)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)12% (won 61% of 59)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)64% (won 90% of 320)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPondermint
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $11K76ers $1.0K—
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $294KTexans $41K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.5K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $41K——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $104KPatriots $26K——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101KCowboys $412——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $59KCowboys $32K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13K—No $45K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $870—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $28KOver $390—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $12K——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $145Over $8.0K—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.6KUnder $321—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $5.2KHeat $298—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $287—76ers $724—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $30K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $63KLinda Noskova $9.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $10K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $7.0K—Bulls $704—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $5——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KOver $995—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $113Under $297—